3/29/26 Sunday 3 am
Before I get started, remember these are weather model totals. This is not my forecast. So if the models get it wrong, you don’t need to email me and tell me how wrong my forecast was.
The biggest change in the overnight model runs was timing. Most models now show the precip starting by 3 am Wednesday; consensus is good to have; however, when it comes to storm timing, that can change a lot in the final 24 hours, so we’ll keep watching that. Most models also see precipitation ending by late Wednesday/very early Thursday.
GFS appears to have an anomalous precipitation run, so for now I am going to leave that off the list and see how it looks the rest of the day.
Here is your location guide if maps are not your thing…
I am going to stick with a conservative 10-to-1 SLR (snow-to-liquid ratio). So, for Telluride and Wolf Creek (as well as the other mountain areas above 9,000 ft), just move the decimal point one space to the right for the snow equivalent.
European
In this case, the .97 (above)at Telluride becomes 9.7 inches of snow
UK Met
ICON (Germany)
Canadian
Canadian Experimental GDPS
Just a note to Cortez residents, don’t get too excited about these totals. Some of the lower resolution models read the elevation of nearby Sleeping Ute and blend the totals over Cortez. Higher-res models are currently showing a total of .30 to .40.
My next update will be on Monday.