4/13/26 Monday 4:30 am
Everything looks good. I am leaning more on the European model for guidance. It did pretty well during the early-month storm, with lower-elevation totals.
Here is the European model in motion, now through late Wednesday night.
Here is its precipitation forecast
The first thing that jumps off the page is the higher totals from Durango down to the NM border. If it were December, this would be one of those storms that I would have said that areas south of Durango would get more than Purgatory.
You could draw a straight line from that bullseye north of Farmingto(.66) up to Wolf Creek. That is the current projected storm path of the low-pressure system.
Let’s hope the morning models also see this as well. I will be just after noon today.