8/11/22 Thursday 5:15 am

I wrote an update yesterday and once again I forgot to hit publish.  Yesterday I wrote that the NWS has been talking about a better chance of showers developing yesterday and today. I said that the models do not reflect that for our area.

After reading this morning’s forecast discussion, it is apparent to me that they are not talking about our forecast area at all. They are concentrating on the northwest quadrant of Colorado. We may still see isolated to scattered convective showers each afternoon, especially over the higher terrain. However, there is no well-defined monsoonal signature over SW Colorado for now. Early indications from the models show a better chance of the monsoonal flow developing by the middle of next week.

I have a lot on my plate right now. I am flying out to Kansas City early Friday morning. From there I will be traveling to Iowa to see family briefly and I will fly back to Durango on Tuesday. Wednesday I have to get an elective procedure done that will put me out of commission for a couple of days. I may try to post on Saturday. I will have some time to kill before my niece’s wedding. If I see something intriguing in the models at any time I will post an update. Other than that consider no news to be no news.

A couple of people contacted me about the weather conditions this weekend. All of the models show more of the same for the next several days. Isolated to scattered convective showers favoring the higher terrain every afternoon.

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