Tuesday Update–An Early Peek At the Weekend And Beyond

8/30/22 Tuesday 7:45 am
In the short term, I do not expect to change my stance that isolated convective storms are possible any afternoon, favoring the higher elevation areas. Overall, the Euro and GFS agree that the next 7 days will be mainly dry in most other areas.
They diverge around Sunday when the GFS starts to introduce more scattered showers that reoccur next week. At this point, I am more comfortable with the drier Euro solution.
High pressure will continue to dominate the area for the foreseeable future. As has been the case the last three months, the first half of the coming month will be drier than the last half.
The extended Euro came out last night and it shows something we have not seen in several months, below-average precipitation and slightly above normal temperatures.  I am not going to go too deeply into it yet. It was a dramatic reversal and sometimes models overreact when it comes to pattern changes that coincide with seasonal changes (meteorological fall begins Thursday, September 1st).
Here is the snow forecast through Thursday, October 13th
It is a little too early to tune up the snowblower but it is nice to see some “blue” on the map.
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