Wolf Creek Not Even Close To Being Done

3/16/23 Thursday 9 am

Yesterday I alluded to the fact that snow would continue throughout the day Thursday and possibly into Friday in some areas. I was not completely sure exactly where that would happen, but it now looks like the bullseye will be over Wolf Creek.

The main energy with the system is tracking across far NW New Mexico and it looks like it is going to stall over Wolf Creek today. This would be the third time that has happened this season.

There is also a shortwave trough in SE Utah that may lead to instability and trigger light snow showers elsewhere, today. That energy may also enhance the low pressure as it reaches Wolf Creek.

In short, I expect heavier snow to re-develop over Wolf Creek around noon (maybe earlier) and continue through the day and the evening.  Models indicate another 8-16 inches of snow will be possible there.

Elsewhere, instability, high CAPE values, and a shortwave trough may trigger snow showers this afternoon, I don’t expect significant accumulations, but a quick couple of inches would not surprise me. It is very difficult to pinpoint exactly where that will happen, but higher elevations will be favored.

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