Tuesday Extended Outlook

Tuesday 4/18/23 4:15 am

Before I get started here are a couple of releases from the NWS.

Hydrologic Outlook
COC067-083-200145-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
741 PM MDT Mon Apr 17 2023

...Increased Flows on the Mancos River Due to Snowmelt...

Snowmelt from above normal/record seasonal snowpack has increased
the flow well above normal for this time of year along the Mancos
River. In addition, warmer temperatures and breezy conditions
through midweek may locally accelerate snowmelt within this river
basin. Colder temperatures arriving in the wake of a system later in
the week will decrease the rate of snowmelt this weekend, providing
some relief to increased flow rates.

Until then, county roadways and low lying areas along the Mancos
River within Montezuma County, may be inundated with water and may
not be passable. Please heed all road closures and find an alternate
route.
$$

MMS

Wind Advisory–everyone’s favorite!

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
214 AM MDT Tue Apr 18 2023

COZ020>022-UTZ022-029-190300-
/O.EXA.KGJT.WI.Y.0008.230418T1500Z-230419T0300Z/
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
Southeast Utah-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
Including the cities of Gateway, Nucla, Cortez, Dove Creek,
Mancos, Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio, Blanding,
Canyonlands National Park, Dead Horse Point State Park,
and Fry Canyon
214 AM MDT Tue Apr 18 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph
  expected.

* WHERE...In Colorado, Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River, Four
  Corners/Upper Dolores River and Animas River Basin. In Utah,
  Southeast Utah and Canyonlands/Natural Bridges.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

People, especially those with respiratory illnesses, heart
disease, the elderly, and children are recommended to stay
indoors and avoid prolonged outdoor exercise or heavy exertion
due to wind-blown dust.

There is just a slight chance of some high-elevation showers popping up this afternoon. On Wednesday there will be a better chance of scattered showers mainly across the higher elevations. Other than that, there has not been, and likely won’t be much to discuss in the near future.

The cool and dry pattern is locked in and will continue for at least 2 to 4 weeks. I had people ask me about the “warm” temperatures we have been experiencing. We had a couple of days above average last week, and the next couple of days will be average to very slightly above, but the longer-term period (7, 14, 30, and 45 days) is expected to be slightly below average.

What is average? This time of year low to mid-60s are average highs for the lower elevation towns and communities.

Here are the long-term temperature forecasts. These are departures from normal for this time of year.

Through May 18

Through June 2nd.

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