Tuesday, July 15, 2025 (2025 is 53.5% over)
I finally got a couple of reports of rain yesterday. Today should be similar to yesterday, I call them “dart-throw showers”. Of course, this analogy only works if you suck at darts, but you get the idea-very unpredictable with a forecast like this:
Based on this, the models have the highest chances in the La Platas, Wolf Creek area, SW San Juans, and Northern San Juans. Once again, it also shows a slight chance of showers south of 160. I saw the same thing yesterday, and I had a couple of reports of a quick 0.10 to 0.25 inches. So I can’t rule it out.
The latest model runs indicate better rain chances tomorrow, followed by a slow start on Thursday, with the infamous moisture plume arriving later in the day, bringing measurable precipitation in the evening and night. This may change; if I am able, I will try to post after the morning model runs around lunchtime.