10/11/25 Saturday 3:30 am
It’s going to keep going today.
This is 3 am Saturday through midnight Monday morning. Does it look like it gets heavier after 6 am? That’s just a start. That’s an extended period of heavy rain.
But wait, that’s not all!
Look at the radar.
So far, the rain has been stratiform, consistent, and heavy at times, but without convection.
That yellow blob in Arizona is precisely that, convection. We usually need a peak at the sun for a couple of hours to generate convection. I do not expect that; however, I cannot rule out thunderstorms across the entire forecast area this afternoon and evening. That energy will likely rotate slowly into our area.
Obviously, we don’t have to worry about fire starts, but severe thunderstorms could bring increased precipitation rates, hail, and winds.
Tomorrow I will dip my toe into next week’s forecast pool. I am waiting another 24 hours because I may have to change precipitation type later in the week.
Great stuff, Jeff!
It’s almost like being back in the Great Northwest!