Yesterday I was thinking 4-10″ for Telluride-still do. NWS threw Ouray into the mix as a classic Gorge event looks likely. I would add Ridgway as well. Travel on north 550 through Red Mountain will be impacted over the next 24 hours.
All areas have their own events, on the Front Range, it is referred to as upslope. Our SW flow events are also upslope, just like a Gorge event. Any favorable set up for any particular area usually involves upslope, which causes lift which enhances precipitation. The Northwest San Juans tend to trap storms coming from the North and Northwest so that by the time the disturbance blows threw it is usually a squall or two that looks like it is all business but it usually doesn’t last long-minutes to an hour or so. It is what I refer to as a”Was that it?” storm.
This afternoon with the cold in place it won’t take much to generate light snow in most areas. Purgatory will be in the 1-3″ range by tomorrow probably the same for Wolf Creek where it will be blustery the next couple of days. he La Platas will get some snow so 1-3″ for Mayday. I won’t rule out a little more for areas north of Dolores and Mancos.
Telluride, Ouray, Red Mountain and to an extent Silverton Mountain will get the most snow. 550 will be impacted, and depending on what happens with the Gorge event, they may need to close the pass at some time over the next 24 hours.
For everyone else, a trace to 2″ if you’re lucky. Snow is currently from just south of Montrose-Nucla and it is moving SE it will head into Ridgway and across the NW San Juans by early afternoon and the SW San Juans by mid to late afternoon. If something changes I will post again this afternoon.