Friday Late Afternoon Update

As repetitive as it sounds, no major changes with this extended precipitation event. Here is the latest Winter Storm Warning for the Purg, Silverton, and Telluride.

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
311 PM MST FRI NOV 6 2020

COZ018-019-071400-
/O.UPG.KGJT.WS.A.0011.201107T0600Z-201110T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.WS.W.0011.201107T0600Z-201110T0600Z/
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TELLURIDE, OURAY, LAKE CITY, SILVERTON, RICO, AND HESPERUS
311 PM MST FRI NOV 6 2020

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST MONDAY…

* WHAT…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON SOUTHWEST-FACING SLOPES.
ELEVATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET WILL SEE ACCUMULATIONS CLOSER TO 7 TO 14 INCHES. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 60 MPH. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A LULL IN SHOWER COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW AND WIND HITS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

* WHERE…NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS.

* WHEN…FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST MONDAY.

* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAIN PASSES. STRONG WINDS COULD CAUSE TREE DAMAGE AND REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW.

I like how they singled out below 9,000 feet. I will get more into snow accumulations Saturday morning.

I have to remind everyone that Wolf Creek Pass is not part of our forecast area from the NWS. The Pueblo NWS office is responsible for that location, not Grand Junction.

Here is their astonishing Winter Storm Warning.

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
250 PM MST FRI NOV 6 2020

COZ066-068-070600-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0012.201107T1200Z-201110T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0009.201107T1200Z-201110T0600Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
250 PM MST FRI NOV 6 2020

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO 11 PM MST MONDAY…

* WHAT…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET, WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ON SOUTHWEST SLOPES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR COULD OCCUR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH
AS 80 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WIND WILL LIKELY  OCCUR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A LULL IN THE STORM SUNDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW AND WIND HITS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

* WHERE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET COUNTIES.

* WHEN…FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO 11 PM MST MONDAY.

* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

80 mph winds with 3-4 inches per hour of snow. That is a travel deterrent. As I said there will be a window later on Sunday to get through Wolf Creek Pass.

Nothing much to add. I will Update Saturday morning when the high-resolution models come out. I will also Update after the GFS and Euro come out around noon.

This should be fun thanks for following!

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