Published at 11:20 am
Overnight the trough axis crossed the area while the closed area of low pressure dropped just far enough south to “donut” the lower and mid-elevations of Montezuma and La Plata Counties. Telluride ended up with 5 inches, Wolf Creek had 4 inches and Purgatory hit the 2-inch mark which is the minimum I expected. I have not heard from anyone in Pagosa but I got reports of 4 to 5 inches between Bayfield and Pagosa.
The biggest changes in the last 24 hours have been the models slowing down the arrival of precipitation on Thursday from afternoon to evening.
At this time, the precipitation amounts look like they will be very similar to what happened yesterday. It does not look like the lower or mid-elevations will have much more than a dusting if anything at all that could certainly change.
Here are the most recent models.
Of course, there is plenty of time for the track and intensity to change before it gets here. Last Saturday’s storm shifted its track at the last minute leading to higher totals than we have been seeing all week in the models.
Next Update Wednesday. As always thanks for following!