6/27/22 Monday 6:45 am

I suppose rain could be boring after a while. While not necessarily boring, I have heard from several folks wanting to cut hay and are hoping for a clue as to when we could string a few dry days together to do that. Unfortunately, I am not seeing anything like that from the models. There may be a day here or there, maybe Wednesday through Thursday morning, but no multiple days as far as I can see.

The other problem is a lot of the convective showers are very difficult to predict. Speaking of that, convection should peak between 1 and 4 pm today. The air is slightly drier than yesterday but afternoon showers drifting off of the higher terrain today seem like a good bet.

If you like the afternoon showers we are going to see plenty more of them. As I  mentioned we may see some lulls here and there, but I do not see an end to this pattern. Early indications are that we are in for a wet weekend, that could change between now and then. I will be keeping an eye on it.

Yesterday, I had almost given up on the idea of rain. Lately, the models had been focusing on the heavy precipitation that has been nearly non-stop along a line from Tucson to Santa Fe. Later in the afternoon some of that moisture drifted north and unleashed moderate to very heavy amounts of rain across the forecast area.

Most of the areas that got rain yesterday received 0.50 to 1.25 inches. But I also saw a couple of anomalies in excess of 2 inches, 3 inches, and one near 4-inch report. For those of you not used to getting a lot of rain, there is some hope. I got a report from 7 miles WSW of Cortez where 1.2 inches fell.

Thanks for the reports, pictures, and videos. If you are going to shoot some video shoot it horizontally, and don’t be afraid to let it run a while. If it is too long I can always edit it.

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