Mid To Long Term Outlook

7/19/22 Tuesday 1:15 pm
Relief is in sight. But, for the next couple of days, most areas will have only a slight chance of a pop-up shower. Chances will be better in the high elevation areas. The best chances will be in eastern Hinsdale and western Mineral Counties along the divide.
The GFS  and the Euro are in pretty good agreement that widespread showers will move into the forecast area on Sunday. The Trend is visible on all models, including their ensemble families and the extended versions of the GFS and Euro models. Fingers crossed. A car wash may be in order…
The forecast totals beginning Sunday through Thursday already look impressive, and they would really be beneficial.
Saving the best for last, here is the Euro.
The good news is the ensemble and extended models show the pattern continuing into August.
Here is the GFS extended model showing the positive precipitation anomaly (amount above average) between now and August 21st. This is the date limit of the GFS extended model.
Here is the Euro extended for the same criteria and the same time period.
Here is the Euro extended model from now through the end of August.
Positive anomalies are difficult to achieve during the rainiest month of the year!
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