Saturday Afternoon Update

7/23/22 Saturday 1:30 pm
Things are still on track for widespread showers moving into the area late on Sunday. PWAT (precipitable water values) are currently at 120% above average. Those values are forecasted to surge to close to 200% of average in portions of the forecast area by Sunday evening and night. My gut tells me to expect more action in the evening than in the day through the early afternoon. We will see.
If even the lowest forecasts from the models verify for precipitation, most areas will finish July with monthly totals higher than the climatological average for July. I will take another look at August on Tuesday.
NOAA’s National Model Blend (NBM) is still very ambitious through the end of the month.
NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center blended model (WPC) only forecasts out through 180 hours. Here is its forecast through the end of the day Friday.
My next update will be out early on Sunday morning.
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