7/28/22 Thursday 6:30 am
Yesterday was relatively quiet during the day in most areas. The exception was San Miguel and portions of Ouray Counties where storms set up. Then Wednesday evening storms set up mostly east of 550 and a few isolated areas west of Forest Lakes really got hit with over 2 inches of rain. That was an anomaly compared to what other areas received.
Today we have another flood watch issued. The difference between today and yesterday is that the models support this idea of widespread showers developing. A repeat performance will be on tap for Friday. Cooler daytime highs will accompany this unsettled weather. Showers may persist into the evening hours and many areas may wake up to rain tomorrow morning. An umbrella will be a recommended accessory today and tomorrow.
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
334 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2022
COZ003-008>010-012-013-017>023-UTZ022-028-029-282200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FA.A.0004.220728T1600Z-220729T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND
BATTLEMENT MESAS-GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND
DALLAS DIVIDE-NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS-PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-FOUR CORNERS/UPPER
DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RIO BLANCO, EAGLE, EDWARDS, GLENWOOD
SPRINGS, CARBONDALE, BASALT, SKYWAY, ASPEN, VAIL, SNOWMASS, CRESTED
BUTTE, TAYLOR PARK, MARBLE, BUFORD, TRAPPERS LAKE, RIDGWAY, GLADE
PARK, TELLURIDE, OURAY, LAKE CITY, SILVERTON, RICO, HESPERUS,
GATEWAY, NUCLA, CORTEZ, DOVE CREEK, MANCOS, DURANGO, BAYFIELD,
IGNACIO, PAGOSA SPRINGS, BLANDING, BLUFF, MEXICAN HAT, MONTICELLO,
CANYONLANDS NATIONAL PARK, DEAD HORSE POINT STATE PARK, AND FRY
CANYON
334 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2022
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...FLASH FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY ON BURN SCARS AND AREAS WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOIL.
* WHERE...PORTIONS OF COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST UTAH, INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS, IN COLORADO, ANIMAS RIVER BASIN, CENTRAL COLORADO
RIVER BASIN, FLAT TOPS, FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER, GORE AND
ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS, GRAND AND BATTLEMENT
MESAS, NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES
RIVER, ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS, SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN, SOUTHWEST
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE AND WEST
ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS. IN SOUTHEAST UTAH, CANYONLANDS/NATURAL
BRIDGES, LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST UTAH.
* WHEN...FROM 10 AM MDT THIS MORNING THROUGH 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
* IMPACTS...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF RIVERS,
CREEKS, STREAMS, AND OTHER LOW-LYING AND FLOOD-PRONE LOCATIONS. IN
ADDITION, HEAVY RAINFALL OVER RECENT BURN SCARS SUCH AS THE
GRIZZLY CREEK FIRE, LAKE CHRISTINE FIRE, PINE GULCH FIRE, PACK
CREEK FIRE, ICE FIRE, 416 FIRE AND EAST CANYON FIRE BURN AREAS,
AMONG OTHER SMALLER, MORE RECENT BURN AREAS IN THE WATCH AREA.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- DEEP MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
RESULTING IN MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY
RAIN, FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY OVER RECENT BURN SCARS AND ALREADY SATURATED SOILS
FROM RECENT RAINFALL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
Here is something we don’t often see–we made the excessive rainfall outlook category 3 (out of 4).

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3.1” here on 502 just south of Vallecito and Lemon at 7800’. 2.5” fell in an hour and a half yesterday!