8/3/22 Wednesday 1:30 pm

Storms have started to fire this afternoon. The most productive storm is currently in the higher terrain north of Vallecito. Rain has spread down to lake level and over half an inch has already fallen this afternoon on the north side of the lake. Lemon is also getting in on the action, but there are no sensors for me to determine how much rain has fallen. Dewpoints have been back on the rise throughout the day all across the forecast area, but clouds may limit convection.

A deeper push of moisture is expected late Thursday and Friday. However, the models are not as overly enthusiastic as they were with rainfall totals for the weekend. That being said, the short-term models have not handled these monsoonal surges well all season. My money is still with the extended models which have trended towards an anomalously wet August.

Another 24 hours from now the models should have a better handle on the weekend weather.

My next update will be out Thursday afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site!