9/27/22 Tuesday 6:20 am

Moisture will be increasing and isolated to scattered showers will be possible each afternoon. The focus for the most active weather will be over the higher terrain. Moisture will further increase from Friday through Sunday. Snow levels should hover around 12,000 feet through Thursday. There is a chance of lowering snow levels for the weekend with a deeper push of moisture. Some models are suggesting snow levels at or slightly below 10,000 feet.  The morning (12z) run of the Euro yesterday showed this.

The overnight run backed off a bit and showed this.

I am hoping for a little more consistency over the next couple of days as I plan to be wherever it is snowing this weekend.

Later this morning I will post an extended outlook. Then I will do an afternoon update on hurricane Ian between 1-2 pm. Landfall will be early Wednesday as a major hurricane.  As of this morning, the biggest threats will be from Sarasota to New Port Richey. If I had to narrow that down, I am especially concerned with Siesta Key, St Petersburg, Clearwater, and Tampa Bay. If Tampa is spared the strongest winds I am worried about the storm surge and heavy 12-20+ inch rainfall. I cannot yet rule out a direct hit on Clearwater, St Pete, and Tampa.

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