11/28/22 Monday 4:15 pm
There were no surprises in the latest round of model runs, at least in our forecast area. This system is going to favor the north-facing high-elevation areas and Wolf Creek. There is not a lot of consensus among the models on accumulations so I am not able to dial in on the forecasts as much as I had hoped.
The front is stalled across southern Wyoming to Idaho and will move south tonight. Snow will pick up between 9 pm and midnight across the Northern San Juans and drop south overnight into tomorrow morning.
Telluride (snow stake) to Red Mountain Pass will see 4 to 7 inches of snow, the same can be expected at Wolf Creek.
Purgatory, Ouray, Rico, and Silverton will see 3 to 5 inches of snow with similar amounts in the mid-elevations at or above 8,500 feet.
Areas between 7,300 and 8,500 feet will see 2 to 4 inches of snow. Areas below 7,000 feet will get a dusting up to 2 inches. Cold air will briefly move in on Tuesday before moderating on Wednesday.
Some of the models are showing a very moist couple of systems coming our way between Friday and Tuesday of next week. This could be the most precipitation we have seen in quite a while. The Canadian is the only model not on board for this event, yet… I hope the models figure out the details over the next 48 hours.
My next update will be on Tuesday. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
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