Thursday Afternoon Update

12/1/22 Thursday 2:10 pm

The latest model runs have the GFS looking slightly more like the Canadian model run from last night and this morning. The Euro and German models are still reluctant to come up in their totals. On Tuesday I mentioned this storm would be another high-risk low reward forecast so I am going to try to not sweat the details too much. Snow should start between 4 and 7 am Friday morning depending on your elevation.

For the families traveling to Grand Junction during the storm tomorrow, it still does not look like a heavy snow event, but when mixed with the snow the wind may make for challenging travel conditions so take it easy and plan for extra time. I would wait until 10 am or so to leave.

Incidentally, when I jokingly wrote the other day that it was the time of year that there is always travel to school or sports events over the passes during winter storms, I didn’t know there was an event in Grand Junction Friday. I would like to see a schedule though so we know when the next storm will hit.

At this point, I am going to split the difference between the models and give double weighting to the Euro and single weighting to the GFS and Canadian.

Wolf Creek 3 to 5 inches.

Telluride Red Mountain and 550 passes 2 to 4 inches.

Purgatory and areas at or above 8,200 feet 1 to 3 inches.

Areas between 7,200 and 8,000 feet up to 2 inches

Below 7,100 feet a dusting or less to an inch.

I will post early tomorrow, so check in before you hit the road. This storm, as always, has a good chance of stalling out before it arrives. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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