12/5/22 Monday 7:30 am
Everything looks on track for an extended precipitation event beginning later today. Showers will be scattered this afternoon and evening and will favor the higher elevations, but can’t be ruled out anywhere. Precipitation will be more consistent Tuesday afternoon and evening. This will continue on Wednesday throughout the day. More than likely, it will end before Thursday morning but the Canadian is still showing snow throughout the day.
By the time it is all done the resorts should pick up 8 to 20 inches of snow. The lower elevations will likely see 2 to 4 inches of snow with 3 to 8 inches in the mid-elevations. I do expect to see, at the least, a Winter Weather Advisory hoisted on Tuesday.
Here are the latest precipitation forecasts
Of all the models, the NOAA blended NBM model makes the most sense.
The Canadian and Euro are overstating the accumulations in Pagosa.
My next update will be on Tuesday morning. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
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