Tuesday Afternoon Update–Storm Tonight and Tomorrow

On By durangoweatherguy

1/10/23 Tuesday

First of all, thank you all for the well wishes. Everything went fine yesterday. Now I am in a weird period where I have one good eye and one bad eye, so I am very excited about the second surgery on the 23rd!

Last night worked out about as expected, I was a little surprised that Wolf Creek did not report any snow. Mainly 3 to 4 inches fell in the other higher elevation locations.

Tonight a quick-moving storm will arrive and deliver snow throughout the forecast area. The models are not expecting this to be a big producer in the lower elevations. However, it will be impactful to the higher elevation locations, especially the passes. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued and will be in effect for 24 hours beginning at 6 pm.

COZ017>019-102145-  
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0002.230111T0100Z-230112T0100Z/  
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-  
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RIDGWAY, GLADE PARK, TELLURIDE, OURAY,   
LAKE CITY, SILVERTON, RICO, AND HESPERUS  
338 AM MST TUE JAN 10 2023  
  
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS  
EVENING TO 6 PM MST WEDNESDAY...  
  
* WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES  
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS  
  45 MPH ABOVE 10000 FEET.  
  
* WHERE...UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE, NORTHWEST SAN   
  JUAN MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS.  
  
* WHEN...SNOW WILL TAPER OFF IN MANY AREAS BY THIS AFTERNOON THEN  
  PICK UP IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AGAIN BY LATE THIS EVENING.   
  
* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PATCHY BLOWING   
  SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY, ESPECIALLY ON   
  RIDGE TOPS.

Wolf Creek Pass is also under a Winter Weather Advisory for 8 to 12 inches.

Here are the latest forecast models for total precipitation from tonight through Wednesday night.

GFS

Canadian

European

German

WPC

550 passes, Purgatory, Wolf Creek: 8 to 12 inches. It’s very rare that I agree exactly with the NWS, but I guess I see the same thing they are seeing.

Mayday, Rico, Silverton, Telluride: 6 to 10 inches

Upper Forest Lakes, Upper Durango Hills, Durango Ridge Ranch, Hesperus Hill:  4 to 7 inches

All other mid-elevation areas:  3 to 5 inches

Durango, Bayfield, Mancos:  1 to 3 inches

Cortez:  Up to 2 inches

After the storm clears out tomorrow night, a ridge will move over us for a couple of days before the next storm cycle starts very late Saturday night/Sunday morning. Several waves should come in Sunday through Wednesday

My next update will be out sometime on Wednesday. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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