Friday Extended Outlook–Well Above Average Precipitation On The Way!

5/12/23 Friday 6:20 am

Late on Saturday, we will see a rare push of Gulf of Mexico moisture retrograde (from east to west) across Colorado and New Mexico. This will trigger rain showers and snow showers across the area. The moisture will linger into Sunday and possibly Monday as afternoon showers redevelop due to convection.

This will be a precursor to what continues to look like an above-average precipitation period for 14 to 30 days. It does not mean we won’t see breaks in the precipitation, but overall, especially for the last half of May through the first half of June we will end up with well above-average precipitation.

Here are the latest extended model runs

European next 7 days–this is the total above average, not the forecast total.

GFS next 7 days–this is the total above average, not the forecast total.


European–Amount above average  through June 14th

GFS–amount above average through June 14th

Too early to worry, but something to keep in mind if you live in low-lying areas that have not had flooding in the last few years. If you live in areas that are regularly affected by flooding, I am sure you know what precautions to take.

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