12/11/23 Monday 6:20 am
The biggest change in the last 24 hours has been the track of the low pressure. It has been slowing down, possibly delaying the onset of precipitation. I talked about this being favorable for the storm yesterday.
The added benefit is that the slower the system moves, the more moisture will be pulled into the system. Instead of just a “southern surprise” this system is starting to look like more of a strengthening system which would deliver heavier snow to the mountains and resorts, while still delivering possibly advisory-level snow to the southern areas.
If the system does end up slowing, strengthening, and cutting off, it could be a decent storm! We will see. Expect another slightly warmer day today. Tomorrow, the models are showing some light afternoon snow showers across the higher elevations. No big deal if it does happen.
The timing for the heaviest snow right now is likely Wednesday late afternoon through Thursday morning. Don’t get too attached to that timing. If you want more snow, it would be better if this storm could brew over Arizona for a little longer before heading our way.
I like a blend of the Canadian and European models right now. Here they are individually showing their event snow forecasts.
European
Canadian
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