11/21/25 (Already) Friday 5 am
I guess I don’t have a lot to say about the storms so far: low producers, low impact. I have had 0.66 inches of rain this week. Wolf Creek is the only one counting inches at this point, with 16 inches so far this week.
Snow flurries this morning around the forecast area. I saw them flying on the cams at Wolf Creek and Telluride.
Speaking of webcams, I am delighted that Purgatory is upgrading its snow stake. I have always tried to give them the benefit of the doubt; however, there are a whole lot of you who have questioned the veracity of their snow totals in the past, even to the point of carrying their own measuring devices and sending me pictures.
I would also say that the way they have approached their snow stake and historic totals added fuel to the fire in the past. Hopefully, this marks a new era of transparency that puts them on par with the other major resorts in the state when it comes to upgrades — and hopefully this does not turn into a “Local Radar” moment! You would be amazed at how many emails I still get about that.
The next storm is lining up and looks similar to the last two — boring! I should not complain and I am not going to for one reason… I am watching Pattern Change 2.0 (The Reinforcer) in the models, which looks like it could start affecting our weather Saturday night/Sunday (after Thanksgiving). Too early to discuss in detail, but knowing it is on the horizon is very helpful.
A quick look at the extended (46-day) model supports cool and wet conditions through December (at least).
The green and blue are not forecasted liquid equivalent totals. In this case, you are looking at the anomalies. The amounts of precipitation above/below average for the period.
By the way, does this look like a La Niña forecast to you? Nope, me neither, the negative anomalies in the NW really jump off the screen! It’s been a challenging week, but I will definitely get an update out by Saturday afternoon.