11/19/25 Wednesday 1:30 pm
No Bueno with the lack of model consistency! I come bearing a low confidence forecast, unfortunately…
It is very much US vs Europe with the weather modelling. I am as patriotic as anyone, but Europe won the Meteorological Race a long time ago, so for this purpose only, I will rely on their guidance.
Here they are, in some cases, nearly opposite outputs.
GFS
European
German-My favorite run
Lil Canada-I call it that because this is an experimental model based upon the parent model.
Pretty good for a learner… Notsomuch
Forecast
I was tempted to take a pass. But, I have learned a lot about dealing with the cards I was dealt lately, sooo.
Lower elevations: Liquid precipitation totals should range from 0.35 to 0.70 inches. Rain may mix with snow in the morning.
Mid-Elevation areas. Liquid range of 0.4 to 1.00 inches. Rain will turn to snow, especially late, at or above 7,800. Below that, it may not accumulate.
Wolf Creek, Coal Bank 6 to 9 inches
Purgatory 4 to 7 inches
Silverton and Telluride 3 to 5 inches,
See ya tomorrow.