05/04/26 Monday Noon
I am still pretty skeptical that the system arriving tomorrow will be a big deal. Why, because I have seen the models miss on these setups in the past. Big storms rarely affect the Front Range AND the Western Slope at the same time.
Yesterday, you could probably sense that I was more interested in discussing the storm’s impacts on Denver and the Front Range than in potential effects on our area.
Although a weak low-pressure system to our west will usher in some moisture over our area, the big story will be the very cold air that will retrograde from the Dakotas and dam up against the eastern side of the divide, the perfect recipe for a classic Front Range upslope event.
Often, any energy that tries to get things going on the western slope is absorbed by the larger system to the east. The model will try to bring that cold air over the divide, but it rarely verifies. A lot would have to go right for us to get substantial precipitation. I would not recommend driving to Denver tomorrow. This could also affect flights on Wednesday morning due to the weather in Denver.
I will post another update around this time tomorrow.