06/02/26 Tuesday 5:30 am
I feel 100% better. Aside from a couple of regular “old guy” pains when I first wake up. Last October, I got really sick with Norovirus. I got emails from people who told me the obvious: lack of sleep and stress caring for Sus weakened my body, and I got sick as a result.
I think that is what I was dealing with last week. It starts with sleep, and I have figured that piece out (again). I will hold off on any other details for a while as I experiment with Sus’s new developments.
I look at the weather each day, and I have not missed much! It looks like the next 7 to 10 days will continue to see occasional afternoon showers and thunderstorms Boring… The good news is that the dry weather is killing my lawn. DIE LAWN DIE!
Models show a wetter period developing after that. But we need a trigger. The best trigger after a couple of months of dryness would be a recurving tropical storm from the Pacific. During El Niño, there is usually more activity in the eastern Pacific than in the tropical Atlantic and the Caribbean. Seasonal African dust seems a little denser than average, I don’t expect anything in the Atlantic anytime soon.
In addition to the extended model runs, this is where I will focus my attention.
Also, we have not talked about this in a while, but some Atmospheric Scientists are attributing all the “Super” El Niño talk to models not handling the potential for an El Niño Modoki. First here is how to pronounce it. It sounds like Hokey-Pokey: Modoki. It means “similar but different. In a typical El Niño, the region that gets the warmest is closest to the coast of South America. With Modoki, it’s the next region of water west (middle) of the plume.
We had one a “couple” of years ago. I am sure I can find precipitation data for the Modoki years compared with traditional El Niño.
I do feel pretty good, I don’t expect to take as long between posts going forward.