06/12/26 Friday 1o am.
And just like that, we are nearly halfway through June, with no significant moisture expected until July (from what I am seeing). I gotta tell you, I was really rooting for a “Summer Solstice” mountain snow storm. That would round out the last 6 months very well.
When nothing is going on at all, I look at the extended models’ 30-46-day range forecasts. I can’t make this bold a prediction; however, long-term models suggest that, starting in July, a “switch” is flipped and wet weather finally arrives. Then, the models show weeks of above-average precipitation. I am not saying it can’t happen. For many years, that 4th of July timeframe has kicked off our “rainy season.”
I think it’s important to remember what the two driest months of the year are (in the Durango area). Anyone? Anyone? Yes, that’s right: May and June.
If you are new to the area, most of our precipitation”averages” are derived from anomalies year to year. So, “average” in SW Colorado does not mean the same thing as it does in Kansas or most other states, where “averages” tend to be more predictable. June tends to look like the following when you look at year-to-year totals: 0.17, .60, 0, 0, 0.15, 2.53, o.30. etc. Over the last century or so, you see a lot of 0.0 to 0.20-inch totals, with some years getting over 5 inches in June (recurving TP storm or depression). Even with the extraordinarily dry winter this year. June is a bad month to fall on the sword when it comes to lack of precipitation.
I have a lot to share regarding Susan. I get more emails about her than about the weather.
I am going to do a dedicated update (no weather ) on her condition this weekend. She/we have gone through the largest decline so far in just the last month. It’s a lot to process and also exhausting. I will start on it later today, hoping to have it out before Monday morning.
Jeff you may already know this ? but when I tried to donate the page said it was broken…???