Sunday, June 21st, 6:30 am (158 days until Thanksgiving)

Just a couple of blips on the (future) radar screen. Not all of the models have found it yet, let alone have any consensus.

The European model seems to be trying to work some precipitation into forecast, it’s even measurable! GFS wants nothing to do with it. The Canadian model (in typical fashion) is curious enough to start revising its own forecast — but it’s far from “all in”.

In these scenarios, the change shows up on Thursday afternoon. It looks like it will have all of the elements necessary for Thunderstorms. Back in the day, we would refer to these as High-Heat Based Thunderstorms. These days, in the world of ever-changing terminology, they are called “Mesoscale Convective Vortices” or, more commonly, “MCVs”.

As I said, the GFS shows nothing (a typical resolution issue). For now, as I have been for most of the year, I am cautiously optimistic, but will be watching closely.

If it happens as planned, it will wipe out outdoor plans for Thursday afternoon and night, as well as all day Friday.

I will update everyone soon. I can already imagine my email box filling up.

Re: Thursday and Friday. ” My daughter is getting married Friday night (on dirt), do you think this will affect her wedding?”

I’ll be baack.

Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

OR

Click here to DONATE

Cash App users:  $JGDWG

Prefer ZELLE or send a check? Click below, and I will give you instructions.

Click here to submit a question or weather report