Sunday Weather(?)

6/14/26 Sunday 8 am

I just looked at the weather models this morning. I did not anticipate seeing anything.  Leave it to the European to throw a wrench in that. Throughout the forecast area, I would add a chance of thunderstorms, favoring the higher elevations (without ruling out other areas). Again, these are very difficult to predict, but it looks like the ingredients may come together.

This is the afternoon CAPE forecast. Just think of CAPE as all of the necessary ingredients for thunderstorms.  Values above 500 exponentially increase the chance of convective activity. Also, don’t mistake thunderstorms for heavy rain. It can happen, which would be nice, but it can also result in dry thunderstorms, lightning, downbursts, and high winds. All the stuff we don’t need in our Tinder-box conditions right now. Sorry, I wish I had better news.

Also, regarding the Sus update: Why do I keep thinking I am in charge of my own schedule when literally anything can change at any second?

Yesterday, rather than accomplish all of my “must-dos “. I ended up with watchtower duty. This is when Sus is overly confident and thinks she needs to walk everywhere in the house. She gets angry if I fuss over her too much. So I kind of watch her from afar, following about 8 feet behind when she leaves the room. Even with close supervision, she fell 6 times in about 4 hours of exploration.  Nothing serious, but I have learned that you can’t go through too many “harmless” falls without a bad one showing up-it’s just a numbers game.  I will explain more eventually.

I guess I always feel like I need to explain when I promise something and can’t deliver on time.

 

 

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