Mother’s Day Forecast? Good Question


I have gotten a number of questions about the forecast for Mother’s day. For the most part, the models differ at this point. They are now trending towards fewer showers, the Euro has Durango in the mid to upper 60’s, which is encouraging.

I don’t see an extended period of dry warm weather, before the 20th or so. Not that we won’t have a few sunny days here or there, but when you compare it to years where we had literally weeks of cloud-free skies in the late spring, this is chilly. But we are such wimps when it comes to rain and cold here.

This is the third afternoon in a row that there have been snow showers at Purg, they are a little lighter today than yesterday, but the 9k ft snow level still surprises me. This morning the snow level briefly went to 7,400 ft.  These on and off showers should continue through Saturday, as I said Sunday is up in the air at this point, but it is trending towards a little nicer weather until late Monday or Tuesday when the showers return with a more organized storm coming in at the end of the week.

It is probably too early to talk about Memorial Day weekend, but I am going to anyway because but, the GFS is, of course, trying to bring in a big storm, especially on Saturday, May 25th (Iron Horse). It is rare for the GFS  to be 100% accurate 15 days out but I have seen it be pretty close numerous times, I am going to put it on my radar and start tracking it.

Screenshot 2019-05-10 at 1.16.38 PM

The blue here is snow, the green is rain and everything southwest of the 552 line is snow down to 8,000 ft!

So outdoor enthusiasts wait to worry,  I will keep you updated as we get closer.


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