Pattern Change Coming Up

10/9/22 Sunday 7 am
Yesterday, showers and thunderstorms developed in the afternoon. 0.10 to 0.40 inches were common in the areas that did see rain. I saw a large anomaly of 0.96 inches register north of Gem Village.  For today and Monday expect isolated showers and storms to develop once again.
Usually, when I have the words Pattern Change in one of my updates it means wetter weather is on the way. That is not going to be the case this week. For the last couple of days, all models have agreed that drier weather is coming. This change will come either Tuesday or Wednesday and may last for 5 to 7 days. We have not had a completely dry forecast lasting that long since early June.
With drier weather, I am confident freezing temperatures will occur in the mid-elevations this week.  It is likely we will see overnight lows flirt with freezing temperatures in the lower elevations. North Vallecito and Lemon hit 32 yesterday morning and again this morning. In and around Purgatory temps are hovering at or just above freezing. Rico is 30 and Silverton hit 24 again this morning.
Daytime highs today and Monday should remain slightly below normal today and tomorrow but because of the drier weather start trending above average by Tuesday or Wednesday. So dry with cool nights and warmer than average should begin Tuesday or Wednesday. This pattern should stick around through most of the weekend, but wetter conditions will return around 10/17.
My next update will be on Monday. Thanks for following and supporting the site!

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