Here are the most recent model runs from the weather models we usually look at.

German liquid

Canadian liquid

Canadian snow

GFS liquid

GFS snow

Euro liquid

Euro snow

The GFS is still all over the place. As far as the Euro goes it has shifted the track in this run to more of a westerly component. This is not showing in the ensemble mean runs. I would have to see two more runs from the Euro showing the storm track change before I take it seriously. My gut tells me that this is an anomalous run, We will see.

For what it is worth, NOAA’s high-resolution NBM model is not giving a lot of weight to the GFS and Euro’s current runs.

I expect we will see some type of blanket Winter Storm Watch issued by the National Weather Service between Thursday afternoon and Friday morning.

My next update will be on Thursday morning. Thanks for following and supporting the site!