10/19/22 Wednesday 2 pm
Thanks to those who have participated in the contest. On Saturday I will update the prize list. In addition to all of the cash prizes, 9 new prizes have been donated by local businesses. If you have not checked it out yet click here:2022 Contest Overview–The Largest Ever.
If you prefer to donate using Venmo, I added that information at the bottom of the post.
Model Update
Here are the most recent model runs from the weather models we usually look at.
German liquid
Canadian liquid
Canadian snow
GFS liquid
GFS snow
Euro liquid
Euro snow
The GFS is still all over the place. As far as the Euro goes it has shifted the track in this run to more of a westerly component. This is not showing in the ensemble mean runs. I would have to see two more runs from the Euro showing the storm track change before I take it seriously. My gut tells me that this is an anomalous run, We will see.
For what it is worth, NOAA’s high-resolution NBM model is not giving a lot of weight to the GFS and Euro’s current runs.
I expect we will see some type of blanket Winter Storm Watch issued by the National Weather Service between Thursday afternoon and Friday morning.
My next update will be on Thursday morning. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
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