10/31/22 Monday 8 am

Everything is looking good for the upcoming storm. The timing has not changed. It will be windy Tuesday and Wednesday, and Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week.

For now, I am sticking with 8,000 feet for my all snow level, although, it will drop much lower than that late Thursday night into Friday morning. The problem is the winds will not support favorable accumulation in most of the lower-elevation areas.

Regardless, it looks like some beneficial moisture is on the way for everyone. Let’s look at the models.

GFS

As is usually the case, I think the GFS is too wet in the higher elevations

Canadian

This model is a little better but is still too wet in the higher elevations, Pagosa, and Cortez.

European

The Euro looks pretty good, but I think it may be a tiny bit low in the higher elevations.

Overall, I like the NOAA blended solutions the best.

NOAA NBM

NOAA WPC

My next update will be on Tuesday. I will do an update on this storm, then a separate post with the extended outlook.

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