12/6/22 Tuesday 6 am
Contest Update
Just a reminder, on Friday morning I will begin tabulating all of the entries for the contest and draw for prizes hopefully Friday afternoon. There are $2500 in prizes plus 3 guided 1-day fishing trips on a private riverfront property that has been open for public fishing for over 12 years. I will contact the winners via private email over the weekend and will release the names publicly (unless they ask me not to) when I hear back from all of them.
One thing that I did differently this year was in addition to the prize money, I allocated an additional $2000 to local charities. Yesterday, I donated to 6 of those charities online, and today I am sending a check to the 7th charity. 5 of the charities were local foodbanks in SW Colorado, and 2 were charities conducting toy drives for children.
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Storm Update
Yesterday afternoon, a Winter Weather Advisory was hoisted beginning at 6 pm tonight. For whatever reason, they changed that to begin at 5 am this morning. Meaningful precipitation is unlikely to fall until very late tonight and Wednesday. It is a standard Winter Weather Advisory and I do believe that this storm will produce enough snow in the higher elevations to meet the standard criteria for a Winter Weather Advisory.
COZ018-019-062000-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0024.221206T1200Z-221208T1300Z/
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TELLURIDE, OURAY, LAKE CITY, SILVERTON, RICO, AND HESPERUS (MAYDAY)
457 AM MST TUE DEC 6 2022
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST THURSDAY…
* WHAT…SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
* WHERE…NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS.
* WHEN…UNTIL 6 AM MST THURSDAY.
* IMPACTS…PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.
COZ066-068-061845-
/O.EXT.KPUB.WW.Y.0033.221206T1200Z-221208T1300Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-WOLF CREEK PASS
345 AM MST TUE DEC 6 2022
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST THURSDAY…
* WHAT…SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 18 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.
* WHERE…LA GARITA AND EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.
* WHEN…UNTIL 6 AM MST THURSDAY.
* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT. BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY. THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS COULD IMPACT THE MORNING OR EVENING COMMUTES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING.
So what they are basically saying is up to 18 inches at Wolf Creek, which I agree is a possibility!
I saw one model run from the overnight hours that I like so well that it is the only model I am going to post this morning. Unless I see something else to change my mind it will be the primary influence on my forecast this afternoon.
Here is NOAA’s blended model the NBM.
Liquid equivalent precipitation in inches
Here is the snow forecast in inches calculated at a 10-1 ratio (it will be higher than that above 9,000 feet)
Because of all the red colors, I had to use a yellow dot.
I will post a snow forecast later this afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site!
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Thank you for supporting food banks and children during this holiday season!