2022 Contest Updated 10/30/22

On October 30, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

If you are new to the site this is something I did in the spring of 2020 and 2021. This year is going to be the biggest ever. There is going to be more prize money than in the previous two contests. I am also going to match the prize money by donating $2000 to local food banks and charities in SW Colorado that benefit children during the holidays. The cash drawings will be on Friday, December 9th. The charitable contributions will be made on or before December 6th. I will announce all of the prize winners after I contact them.

Merchants are welcome to donate goods or services. I am not going actively solicit any businesses this year, it has been a difficult year for many so I do not want to put any pressure on anyone.

Prize List–Updated 10/30/22

In addition to all of the prizes listed below, six more prizes have been added recently. Five $50 gift cards to Star Liquors in Durango and a round of Golf for a foursome at Hillcrest Golf Course in Durango.

$2000 in cash prizes will be distributed as follows: Two $25o prizes, four $150 prizes, four $100 prizes, four $75 prizes, and four $50 prizes. The good folks at Eolus wanted to participate again this year. They are adding four $50 gift cards to the prize list. PJ’s Market has also kindly come back to support the contest, they are donating two $50 gift cards. The next prize is something unlike we have ever had before. I have a follower who has a large ranch south of Pagosa. He has 1.75 miles of private riverfront property near where the Navajo and San Juan Rivers meet. He is arranging three one-day fishing trips accompanied by a guide. He told me that the guides love to fish the property because it has not been open to the public for over 12 years! The winners will have until June 15th, 2023 to enjoy their prize.

Cash prizes will be distributed the same way in which the entries were made unless you let me know otherwise. Winners will be contacted via email before I publish the names. The link at the bottom is for Paypal and credit/debit cards. I have also included my Venmo information. If you prefer to send a check, click the blue link to contact me for that information.

Thanks for following and supporting the site!

Click here to donate for a chance to win

If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

Click here to submit a weather report or question

Send your weather videos to: durangoweatherguy@gmail.com

Pattern Change Next Week

On October 29, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/29/22 Saturday 7:20 am

While is evident we will see a big change in our weather beginning very early Thursday morning, there are still more questions than answers regarding the track and intensity of the storm(s). The GFS and European have quietly changed places in the last 2 days or so with the GFS showing a better setup for SW Colorado. This has not been the case over the days leading up to that point. At one point the Euro was showing multiple feet of snow for our mountains while the GFS had a few inches with mostly a miss.

What I do know is that it will continue to be dry for the next few days. As the trough moves into the west, it will start to move the ridge currently over us to our east. Winds will switch to the southwest, the pressure gradient will tighten and it will probably get windy around here on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Prefrontal precipitation should start to break out by Thursday morning. Since the models are not in agreement regarding track and intensity, it is too early to talk about totals. The storm has a lot of potential, but I am not ready to get on board 100% yet. If you use an app or rely on services with automated snow forecast updates, you will likely see them vary quite a bit from day to day.

Hopefully, we will start to see better model agreement soon. Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

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If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

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Thursday Afternoon Update

On October 27, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/27/22 Thursday 1:40 pm

Yesterday I mentioned the complex weather setup for today. I said a number of things had to come together just right to produce a little bit of snow. A little snow fell overnight and continues to fall from Ridgway to just north of Silverton. There have been light flurries in Telluride throughout the day as well. Conditions are deteriorating at Wolf Creek and travel will be slightly impacted until early evening.

After a few flurries in southern portions of the forecast area earlier this morning, it has been a pretty non-eventful day in the lower elevations. The low-pressure system in northern New Mexico has been moving east and I do not expect any additional impacts from Cortez to just west of Pagosa. There could be a few more showers in and around Pagosa.

Starting tomorrow it is going to warm up slightly and dry out until Wednesday or Thursday of next week. I expect a dramatic shift in the weather pattern beginning next Thursday, November 3rd that will last through the weekend at least.

My next update will be on Saturday. Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

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If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

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Something In The Forecast For Everyone

On October 26, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/26/22 Wednesday 8:30 am

I did not expect last night’s storm to have any effects south of I-70 so I did not even mention it. It has stalled just north of the San Juans, like weak, positively tilted NW flow storms like to do. It may produce another inch or so from Telluride to Red Mountain and maybe Ouray before the next storm arrives later today.

A complex set of circumstances will come together to deliver a bit of snow once again to the areas that favor northerly and northwest flow. So once again the northern portions of the forecast area should see more snow tonight and tomorrow. Overnight, a small area of low pressure may develop across northern New Mexico that could track northeast. This could enhance snowfall slightly somewhere between Durango and Wolf Creek Pass tomorrow.

If all of these scenarios come together perfectly around 8 inches of snow could fall from Telluride to Red Mountain. A couple of inches could fall at Purgatory and 6 or so inches could fall at Wolf Creek. Again, that is if everything comes together perfectly. My confidence is very low in that happening, but we’ll see.

After Thursday, expect dry and slightly warmer conditions through the weekend and the beginning of next week. I am already starting to track a pattern change back to wintery weather beginning around November 2nd. So we will still have a lot to talk about in the coming days!

My next update will be on Thursday afternoon. Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

Click here to donate for a chance to win

If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

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Send your weather videos to: durangoweatherguy@gmail.com

Tuesday Morning Update–Extended Outlook

On October 25, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/25/22 Tuesday 7:45 am

I have five gift cards totaling $250 to add to the prize list. Chances are that additional prizes are going to be added this week, so I am going to hold off until the weekend to update the prize list. If you have not had a chance to check it out click here: 2022 Contest The Largest Ever–Updated 10/21/22

Well, the cold showed up. Temps are sitting in the teens to around 20 degrees throughout the forecast area as of 6 am. There is another system that is going to clip the northern portions of the forecast Wednesday afternoon and Thursday, I will talk more about that on Wednesday morning.

Extended Outlook

If you are new to my Extended Outlook, I use the “Euro Weeklies” model which comes out late on Mondays and Thursdays. I use the late Monday version and post it on Tuesday mornings. I show the forecasted liquid precipitation anomalies for 32 and 46-day periods. In the winter I show the actual snow forecasts for those time periods. I used this model in the spring and summer to forecast the above-average monsoon season we enjoyed.

Here is the liquid precipitation forecast anomaly through November 24th.

This sh0ws an average amount of precipitation for the southern, central, and western portions of the forecast area. It shows slightly below-average precipitation in the eastern portions of the forecast area and slightly above-average precipitation for the northern portions of the forecast area.

Here is the liquid precipitation forecast through December 8th.

This shows well above-average precipitation across the entire forecast area. This means that the period from November 24th through December 8 will be VERY wet. That is a very good time period to have above-average precipitation in SW Colorado.

Here are the temperature anomalies for the same time periods.

Through November 24th

Through December 8th

These show well below average temperatures through November 24th, with slightly below average temperatures between November 24 and December 8th.

Next is the snowfall forecast for all of our regional airport locations in Southwest Colorado. The graph on the bottom of the images shows the average output of 50+ model members.

TEX-Telluride

DRO

Stevens Field

MTJ

CEZ

My next update will be on Wednesday. Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

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Monday Mid-Morning Update

On October 24, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/24/22 Monday 10:30 am

Sorry for the later post this morning. I have been trying to reach out and get some good data on the mountain snow, but it is apparently a little too early in the season for that.

The models did not perform too horribly on liquid precip in the lower elevations. Most locations reported 0.30-0.60 inches of precipitation. There were a couple of anomalously lower and higher reports that ranged from 0.10 to 1.50 inches. At this point, I am not too sure about the higher elevations. Up until about an hour ago, it was still snowing on the Mountain Lodge Cam at Mountain Village.

Snow fell a little short of my expectations. The models were too fast with the frontal passage and more importantly, with the pool of cold air–which is still not fully in place. I am not sure that the early temperature forecasts for overnight lows Tuesday morning will verify, but I do expect it to be a couple of degrees colder than we experienced this morning.

At the moment it appears that the next storm will pass further to our north. Snow showers will break out across the northern portions of the forecast area Wednesday afternoon. The snow will become more widespread and drop further south Wednesday into Thursday.

I do not expect significant accumulations at this time, but it may become a bit of a nuisance event for the 550 passes on Thursday. Depending on which model I look at, 2 to 6 inches of snow will be possible from Telluride to Red Mountain and Camp Bird.

After that, we should go into a drier period with temperatures closer to normal or just slightly below. This will be short-lived, however, it looks like another storm will be on tap for the middle of next week, we’ll see.

I will talk more about that in the Tuesday morning Extended Outlook.

Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

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If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

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Send your weather videos to: durangoweatherguy@gmail.com

Sunday Early Morning Storm Update

On October 23, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/23/22 Sunday 4:40 am

I updated the prize list for the 2022 Contest on Friday. If you have not had a chance to check it out click here: 2022 Contest The Largest Ever–Updated 10/21/22

Here is the current radar and surface map (4 am)

Here it was 14 hours ago

Talk about a slow mover! You will notice the blue has become blue and red as it moves east. That means the front is semi-stationary. This happens a lot in the winter. The cold front gets hung up over the NW San Juans.

The coldest air is NW of the red and blue line. The moisture and the clouds have led to poor radiation cooling overnight, so the snow levels are pretty high.

Here is a better look at the radar (4:15 am)

We all are aware of the problems with our radar, so the higher the elevation the more likely the precipitation is reaching the ground.

The cold air is on the move, I have noticed the temperature dropping in Silverton currently 36 degrees at 4:15 am and 34 at Telluride Mountain Village, with 39 degrees at Purg base. In Telluride, the webcams show it dumping at Hoot Brown and on Mountain Lodge. At Purgatory, snow and graupel are falling on the snow stake cam. Wolf Creek is still working out the bugs with their new website.

The forecast area including the lower and mid-elevation areas will notice an increase in winds and the temperatures will drop as the front approaches this morning. We have probably already hit our high temperatures for the day.

I may post again after the sun comes up. Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

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Wind Advisory In The Lower And Mid Elevations–Winter Storm Warning In The Mountains

On October 22, 2022October 22, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/22/22 Saturday 4:15 pm

I updated the prize list for the 2022 Contest yesterday. If you have not had a chance to check it out click here: 2022 Contest The Largest Ever–Updated 10/21/22

Wind Advisory

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
141 PM MDT Sat Oct 22, 2022

COZ022-023-231000-
/O.EXB.KGJT.WI.Y.0024.221023T0600Z-221023T1800Z/
Animas River Basin-San Juan River Basin-
Including the cities of Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio,
and Pagosa Springs

…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON MDT
SUNDAY…

* WHAT…Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph
expected.

* WHERE…Animas River Basin and San Juan River Basin.

* WHEN…From midnight tonight to noon MDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS…Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high-profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

People, especially those with respiratory illnesses, heart
disease, the elderly, and children are recommended to stay
indoors and avoid prolonged outdoor exercise or heavy exertion
due to wind-blown dust.

Winter Storm Warnings

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
227 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

COZ009-010-012-018-019-231000-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0007.221023T0600Z-221024T1200Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Vail, Crested Butte, Taylor Park,
Telluride, Ouray, Lake City, Silverton, and Rico
227 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY ABOVE 8500 FEET…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected above 8500 feet. Total snow
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts.
Winds gusting as high as 60 mph.

* WHERE…Grand and Battlement Mesas, Gore and Elk
Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys, West Elk and Sawatch
Mountains, Northwest San Juan Mountains and Southwest San Juan
Mountains.

* WHEN…From midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Monday.

* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.
Strong winds could cause tree damage.

Wolf Creek

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
218 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

COZ060-066-068-230430-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.221023T0600Z-221024T1200Z/
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
218 PM MDT Sat Oct 22 2022

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 16
inches, with the greatest amounts expected over the eastern San
Juan Mountains. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph.

* WHERE…Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet, La Garita
Mountains Above 10000 Feet, and Eastern San Juan Mountains
Above 10000 Feet.

* WHEN…From midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Monday.

* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing
snow could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Forecast

Generally, if I don’t see any drastic changes in the models, on the last runs before my last post before the storm arrives, I tend to go with what I have seen over the last few days. The heaviest snow with this storm will fall where no one will be able to access it in the La Plata Mountains backcountry. For the ski areas, I am forecasting the mid-mountain snowfall amounts.

Wolf Creek 16-20 inches

Telluride 10-14 inches

Telluride will get decent snow in SW flow with the positioning of the jet streak (the strongest part of the jet stream). Then the winds will shift to the NW and they will get their favorable flow adding to the total.

Purgatory 8-12 inches

As far as the rest of us go, I am expecting 6-10 inches for Silverton, Mayday, and Rico. 2-6 inches in the forecast area between 7,400-8,400 feet. Below 7,400 up to an inch with most melting. I expect 0.40 inches to 1.00+ inches of liquid equivalent precipitation throughout the forecast area.

For the passes,12-16 inches at Wolf Creek Pass, 8-14 inches at Coal Bank, and Molas with 6-10 at Lizard Head.

My next update will be Sunday morning. Thanks for following and supporting the site and thank you for participating in the contest!

Click here to donate for a chance to win

If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

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Send your weather videos to: durangoweatherguy@gmail.com

Saturday Morning Update–Watch Upgraded To Winter Storm Warning

On October 22, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/22/22 Saturday 7:30 am

The contest prize list was updated yesterday. Click here for details:

2022 Contest The Largest Ever–Updated 10/21/22

The NWS offices decided to upgrade the Winter Storm Watch to a Winter Storm Warning. Some areas will not meet the snowfall requirements for a Winter Storm Warning. As I explained the other day the rules are a bit different with early-season storms. I do expect there will be a few areas that will hit the higher snow accumulation requirements for a Winter Storm Warning. The other factor is the wind and the elevated CAPE which could lead to the development of snow squalls on Sunday.

I will talk more about accumulation in my afternoon update.

Here are the Winter Storm Warnings

COZ009-010-012-018-019-222200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0007.221023T0600Z-221024T1200Z/
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAIL, CRESTED BUTTE, TAYLOR PARK,
TELLURIDE, OURAY, LAKE CITY, SILVERTON, AND RICO
422 AM MDT SAT OCT 22 2022

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY ABOVE 8500 FEET…

* WHAT…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ABOVE 8500 FEET. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

* WHERE…GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS, GORE AND ELK
MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS, WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS, NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS COUNTIES.

* WHEN…FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY.

* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. PATCHY BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY.

_________________________________________________________

Wolf Creek

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
352 AM MDT SAT OCT 22 2022

COZ060-066-068-230000-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0009.221023T0300Z-221024T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0012.221023T0600Z-221024T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
352 AM MDT SAT OCT 22 2022

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY…

* WHAT…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 15 INCHES, HIGHEST OVER THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 65 MPH.

* WHERE…EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET, LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET, AND EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* WHEN…FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY.

* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT. WIDESPREAD BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY. STRONG WINDS COULD CAUSE TREE DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

_________________________________________________________

The models have not changed much since yesterday afternoon. The Euro has a “rapid update” version that extends 90 hours. I only use it for short-term analysis. It just updated an hour ago and it bumped up the precipitation in the lower elevations from what the midnight run showed. I can only access this version from one of my providers so I put the red dot in for Durango.

Euro rapid update liquid

Euro rapid update snow

GFS liquid

GFS snow

Canadian liquid

Canadian snow

German liquid

NOAA WPC

I will talk more about accumulations this afternoon. Unless something changes my mind, I am currently favoring the Canadian, German, and NOAA WPC model outputs.

Thanks for following and supporting the site and the contest!

Click here to donate for a chance to win

If you prefer to donate with Venmo: @Jeff-Givens-11

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Send your weather videos to: durangoweatherguy@gmail.com

Friday Afternoon Update–Winter Storm Watches Issued

On October 21, 2022 By durangoweatherguyLeave a comment

10/21/22 Friday 3:45 pm

Before I begin, I updated the prize list for the 2022 Contest. If you have not had a chance to check it out click here: 2022 Contest The Largest Ever–Updated 10/21/22

The NWS ended up going the Winter Storm Watch route today. We will see how they handle the wording tomorrow. It is apparent that the NWS favors the European model for this storm.

Grand Junction

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
310 PM MDT FRI OCT 21 2022

COZ004-009-010-012-013-018-019-UTZ023-221015-
/O.NEW.KGJT.WS.A.0008.221023T0300Z-221024T1200Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COLUMBINE, HAHNS PEAK, TOPONAS, ASPEN,
VAIL, SNOWMASS, CRESTED BUTTE, TAYLOR PARK, MARBLE, BUFORD, TRAPPERS LAKE, TELLURIDE, OURAY, LAKE CITY, SILVERTON, RICO, HESPERUS (MAYDAY) , MANILA, AND DUTCH JOHN
310 PM MDT FRI OCT 21 2022

…WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT…

* WHAT…HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 14 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WINDS COULD GUST
AS HIGH AS 55 MPH.

* WHERE…PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST, SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL COLORADO AND NORTHEAST UTAH.

* WHEN…FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. PATCHY BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY, ESPECIALLY ON RIDGE TOPS. STRONG WINDS COULD CAUSE TREE DAMAGE.

Pueblo (Wolf Creek)

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
307 PM MDT FRI OCT 21 2022

COZ060-066-068-220515-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.A.0009.221023T0300Z-221024T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET-
307 PM MDT FRI OCT 21 2022

…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT…

* WHAT…HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS 8 TO 14 INCHES MOUNTAINS. WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 60 MPH.

* WHERE…EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET, LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET AND EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* WHEN…FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS…TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT. SNOW AND BLOWING BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY.

Not a lot of model changes since the overnight runs. That is good news. We don’t want to see big model moves the day before the storm arrives.

NBM liquid